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Calibrating David's crystal ball (continued)
5. Multifunction Springboard modules My 2001 prediction: In 2001, we'll start to see some multifunction modules, as well as support some form of Compact Flash or Smart Media, all in one module. We'll also see modules that integrate telephony and wireless Web access. Bonus: a few more Springboard modules announced in 1999 and 2000 will actually ship in 2001.
Lots of Springboard modules are now on the market, but only a few multifunction modules are available:
- The Thinmodem Plus from Card Access combines a 56K modem with an extra 8MB of RAM, in one module.
- The DataQuake module from PoGo! Products combines 8MB or 16MB of RAM with silent alarm and vibrating feedback functionality.
- Hagiwara combined a flash backup capability with an additional 8MB of memory.
Honestly, there were two things about Springboard modules that disappointed me in 2001. First, most of them were quite overpriced. For example, when it's possible to buy 128MB of CompactFlash or SD media for about a hundred bucks, it seems ludicrous to spend almost $50 for 8MB. Second, there really weren't any Springboard modules that really extended the experience.
For example, why not integrate CompactFlash with an MP3 player and use the large Handspring screen to create an incredibly compelling music experience? Or why not integrate a huge RAM array with an entire library of reference materials?
In 2002, I hope we see more Springboard modules. While some modules are excellent, many seem to be weak in one area or another. I'm hoping that in 2002, we'll see more aggressive innovation and more attention to detail in new modules.
6. Voice recognition My 2001 prediction: Viable voice recognition and dictation won't be available on Palm OS devices. That's it. That's the whole prediction. Get over it. Move on to my next prediction.
I was right. It didn't happen. It still won't happen in 2002.
7. Automotive integration My 2001 prediction: Now we're seeing that Palm and Delphi Automotive Systems have formed a partnership and announced the Communiport Mobile Productivity Center, which will give drivers hands-free access to Palm V series devices and certain Ericsson phones. They've also invested in a start-up called MobileAria that plans to develop a new, hands-free mobile Internet service platform for the automobile. Don't these people ever learn? It's not going to work. I wish there were a specially integrated, ultra-cool car device, just so I could buy it. But I predict that there won't be, coolness will be sadly lacking, and no one will care. Sorry guys.
I was right on track with this one. Nothing ever really came of these announcements, and there are certainly no compelling consumer products in this area. And there won't be for 2002, either.
8. Craaazy stuff My 2001 prediction: In 2000, the Palm handheld really became mainstream. I don't know exactly what form it'll take in 2001, but I predict we'll certainly see more weird and wacky stuff that can only be called "craaaazy."
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